2. SRG trend survey on the federal referendum of 28 September 2025
Voter turnout 44% | Voting intentions for property taxes on second homes narrow and for e-ID stable in favour
If the vote had taken place on 6 September 2025, the property tax proposal would have been narrowly accepted and the e-ID law would have been approved by a stable majority. At 43%, voter turnout was below the long-term average (47% between 2011 and 2023 according to the FSO).
Stimmabsichten Abstimmung vom 28. September 2025 im Trend
The proposal on property tax on second homes started with an initial majority in favour, but has come under heavy pressure during the campaign. Property owners and German-speaking Switzerland remain clearly in favour, while tenants, French-speaking Switzerland, urban regions, the left and, more recently, younger people are significantly more critical. The focus is on arguments in favour, such as fairness and relief for owners, while the opposing side emphasises above all the benefits for the rich and the disadvantages for the middle class. The arguments in favour continue to have a stronger impact, but are losing support. Opinion is now much more firmly established than it was a month ago, but not as far advanced as with the e-ID. The starting position thus presents a slightly positive but fragile picture: a majority would currently vote in favour, but the trend towards rejection leaves the outcome open.
The e-ID proposal enjoys a stable majority of just under 60 per cent in favour, with opinion formation well advanced and little volatility. It is supported by the GLP, the Centre Party, the FDP, the SP and the majority of the Greens; the SVP grassroots clearly reject it. Higher incomes and education go hand in hand with approval, while lower incomes and education are accompanied by scepticism. Trust in state institutions is the central line of conflict. The state solution is convincing as an alternative to tech companies, as is the voluntary nature and cost-free use of the system. Concerns mainly relate to the risk of abuse and the disadvantage of groups with less digital affinity. Overall, the pro side remains clearly dominant.
In the cockpit linked here, you will find detailed results as well as background information on the proposals, the theory and the methodology behind the SRG trend survey.
