2nd SRG Trend Survey on the Federal Vote of 27 September 2026

Opinion formation is currently still at different stages for the two proposals. For the Neutrality Initiative, opinions have become increasingly consolidated: 83 percent of those intending to vote have a firm voting intention either for or against the proposal. Opinion formation on the Food Initiative is less advanced, with 71 percent expressing a firm intention to vote either for or against it. The two initiatives also differ in how closely voting intentions are reflected in the arguments. For the Neutrality Initiative, the two are now closely aligned. For the Food Initiative, however, the arguments attract considerably more support than the initiative itself.

Turnout intention currently stands at 49 percent, slightly above the long-term average of 47.4 percent.

These findings represent a snapshot around three weeks before voting day and should not be understood as a forecast.

The majority against the Neutrality Initiative has widened further since the first survey wave. Currently, 63 percent of those intending to vote would vote against the initiative (+9 ppt.), while 34 percent would support it (-8 ppt.). Views have also become more firmly settled, with 83 percent now expressing a definite voting intention (+10 ppt.). The shift towards rejection can be seen across political, regional and sociodemographic groups. The initiative still enjoys majority support among SVP sympathisers and among those who distrust the government, but support has fallen even in these core groups. The opponents also retain a clear advantage when it comes to the arguments: taken together, the arguments point towards rejection for 63 percent of respondents (+3 ppt.), compared with 32 percent whose responses favour acceptance (-2 ppt.).

The picture has changed markedly for the Food Initiative. What was still a close race in the first survey wave has shifted to a clear majority against the initiative: only 33 percent would currently vote in favour (-14 ppt.), compared with 64 percent who would vote against it. Support has fallen across virtually all groups examined. Party supporters are also increasingly moving into line with their parties’ recommendations. Most parties represented in Parliament recommend voting against the initiative, with the exception of the Greens, who have left the decision up to individual members. Views have become more firmly settled, with 71 percent now expressing a definite voting intention (+11 ppt.), although opinion formation remains less advanced than for the Neutrality Initiative.

Turnout intention for the vote on 27 September 2026 currently stands at 49 percent, slightly above the long-term average of 47.4 percent. This represents an increase of 5 percentage points compared with the first survey wave. Green Liberals and Green Party sympathisers currently show particularly strong mobilisation. SP and Centre Party sympathisers also report above-average turnout intentions. By contrast, SVP sympathisers and especially voters with no party affiliation are mobilised below average. The composition of the electorate may still change between now and voting day.